Narrative Edge

FDX

USD 316.80 +51.88% · 1Y
Latest: bear
Price
Oct 30 Nov 2 Nov 3 Nov 4 Nov 5 329.50 325.45 321.40 317.34 313.29
Oct 6 Oct 14 Oct 21 Oct 28 Nov 5 329.40 319.31 309.21 299.12 289.03
Aug 6 Aug 28 Sep 22 Oct 14 Nov 5 339.35 324.40 309.45 294.49 279.54
May 6 Jun 23 Aug 7 Sep 22 Nov 5 339.35 324.40 309.45 294.49 279.54
Nov 6 Feb 6 May 8 Aug 10 Nov 5 339.35 305.66 271.97 238.28 204.59
Nov 4 May 5 Nov 3 May 11 Nov 5 338.31 295.54 252.78 210.01 167.24
Nov 6 Aug 5 May 5 Feb 9 Nov 5 338.31 295.54 252.78 210.01 167.24
Full synthesis

Viewpoint Synthesis

Bull Thesis

Amazon's managed transport expansion triggered an overreaction, creating a buying opportunity.

1. Overdone selloff

  • Sharp selloff on Amazon news is viewed as largely overdone by analysts. ↴
Bear Thesis

Amazon's low-cost parcel service erodes FedEx's pricing power and market share.

1. Aggressive pricing undercuts FedEx

  • Amazon's pricing proposals undercut FedEx, directly threatening parcel revenue. ↴
  • Lower rates from Amazon accelerate shipper defection, pressuring volume. ↴
Opinion timeline

Opinion Timeline

Bull Plane
TIME
Bear Plane
No bull argument in this report.
2026-07-10

The company is facing competitive pressure from Amazon, which is offering lower shipping rates for its U.S. delivery service.

2026-07-10 Back to thesis

Amazon Shipping, the company’s parcel delivery service now available to all customers, has offered proposals with prices competitive with or lower than FedEx (FDX) and UPS (UPS), said multiple experts working with shippers in negotiating and handling shippi...

2026-07-10 Back to thesis
No bull argument in this report.
2026-05-05

FedEx experienced a sharp selloff due to Amazon's expansion into managed transport, though TD Cowen believes the reaction is largely overdone.

2026-05-05 Back to thesis
Sources and method

Research through 2026-07-10 · 2026-05-05 to 2026-07-10 · 2 source reports.

Price through 2026-11-05 · USD
Price cutoff for each chart range
RangePrices through
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AI synthesis current. Synthesis as of 2026-10-01; evidence available through 2026-07-10. Verified source bindings; generated 2026-10-01, analyzed evidence through 2026-07-10.
Research coverage and method

Research through 2026-11-03. Artifact validity does not establish factual accuracy or research freshness.

Technical diagnostics
Research source: 2026-11-03 Processed through: 2026-11-03 Generated: 2026-11-05T21:55:38+00:00 · 0d ago Generation SHA: aedfe3ef5807 Service SHA: 50f2a97952e8