Narrative Edge

Narrative Edge

Trade the stories moving markets.

Research-date simulation (retrospective)

New signals

Long

New long signals
TickerSignalPositionvs QQQ since entryBasisPrice vs QQQ
▲CRM Open -2.3 pp

Bear → bull
Since entry. QQQ -0.8%; CRM -3.0% from Oct 30, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 97100 QQQCRM Oct 30, 2026Nov 3, 2026

Short

New short signals
TickerSignalPositionvs QQQ since entryBasisPrice vs QQQ
▼MNDY Pending —

Bull → bear
10 sessions before the signal. QQQ -5.2%; MNDY +2.0% from Oct 19, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 100113 QQQMNDY Oct 19, 2026Nov 2, 2026
▼ORCL Pending —

Bull → bear

Counter-evidence (bull side) since 2026-11-03
10 sessions before the signal. QQQ -5.2%; ORCL -8.0% from Oct 19, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 94100110 QQQORCL Oct 19, 2026Nov 2, 2026
▼SHOP Pending —

Bull → bear
10 sessions before the signal. QQQ -5.2%; SHOP -8.7% from Oct 19, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 92100 QQQSHOP Oct 19, 2026Nov 2, 2026
▼MRVL Open -0.0 pp

Bull → bear

 Chart starts after the second close
▼RDDT Open -0.0 pp

Bull → bear

 Chart starts after the second close
▼GOOGL Open -0.8 pp

Bull → bear

Counter-evidence (bull side) since 2026-10-29
Since entry. QQQ -0.8%; GOOGL +0.1% from Oct 30, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 99100 QQQGOOGL Oct 30, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▼U Open -8.0 pp

Bull → bear
Since entry. QQQ -5.6%; U +2.5% from Oct 28, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 95100 QQQU Oct 28, 2026Nov 3, 2026

Continuation

Continuation list
TickerSignalPositionvs QQQ since entryBasisPrice vs QQQ
▲AMD Open -5.1 pp
  • AI Connectivity Pure-Play Expansion
  • AMD's CPU Tailwinds and Outperformance
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; AMD -8.9% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 90100107 QQQAMD Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲MSFT Open +1.6 pp
  • AI Productivity Take-off
  • AI Connectivity Pure-Play Expansion
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; MSFT -2.2% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 96100 QQQMSFT Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲EBAY Open +3.8 pp
  • Agentic AI Driving E-commerce & Software Migrations
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; EBAY +0.0% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 96100 QQQEBAY Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲ADI Open +6.7 pp
  • Intel's CPU price increase and AI inference strategy
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; ADI +2.9% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 97100105 QQQADI Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲ANET Open -0.4 pp
  • AI Connectivity Pure-Play Expansion
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; ANET -4.1% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 94100104 QQQANET Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲NET Open -13.8 pp
  • AI as Demand Accelerant for Data Platforms
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; NET -17.5% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 82100 QQQNET Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲NVDA Open -0.5 pp
  • Custom Silicon & Advanced Packaging
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; NVDA -4.3% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 94100 QQQNVDA Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲NXPI Open +10.7 pp
  • Intel's CPU price increase and AI inference strategy
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; NXPI +6.9% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 100107 QQQNXPI Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲ON Open +1.8 pp
  • Intel's CPU price increase and AI inference strategy
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; ON -2.0% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 96100105 QQQON Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026

Watch

Watch list
TickerSignalPositionvs QQQ since entryBasisPrice vs QQQ
▲DOCN Open -5.3 pp

30.1pp behind QQQ

  • AI as Demand Accelerant for Data Platforms
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; DOCN -9.1% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 92100105 QQQDOCN Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲WULF Open +8.4 pp

25.6pp behind QQQ

  • Neoclouds Outperforming AI Infra
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; WULF +4.6% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 93100110 QQQWULF Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲SNDK Open -6.5 pp

23.1pp behind QQQ

  • AI Memory Chip Scarcity & Investment Offers
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; SNDK -10.3% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 88100109 QQQSNDK Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲LRCX Open +0.9 pp

20.1pp behind QQQ

  • WFE Outperformance Despite Memory Volatility
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; LRCX -2.8% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 100106 QQQLRCX Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026
▲TWLO Open -15.1 pp

10.4pp behind QQQ

  • AI as Demand Accelerant for Data Platforms
Since entry. QQQ -3.8%; TWLO -18.9% from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026. Close, rebased to 100. 80100 QQQTWLO Oct 26, 2026Nov 3, 2026

Closed

Closed positions, newest first
TickerListEntryExitReasonvs QQQ
▲MRVLWatch2026-10-262026-11-03Consensus reversed-22.7 pp
▲GOOGLContinuation2026-10-262026-10-30Consensus reversed-8.6 pp

Track record

Retrospective simulated results; simulated closures do not count toward live validation.

Rules are in validation until the new-signal and continuation lists each have 30 closed recorded positions.

Closed simulated positions by list; rates appear from 10 closed positions
ListSideClosedBeat QQQMean vs QQQ
New signalsAll0 — —
ContinuationAll1 — —
ContinuationLong1 — —
WatchAll1 — —
WatchLong1 — —
Sources and method

Signal shows the source research date, not the date the signal was recorded.

25 recorded signals reviewed; 1 withheld.

Pending charts show 10 sessions before a new signal, or 20 for Continuation and Watch. Open-position charts start at entry. All are rebased to 100 and compared with QQQ.

Simulated entry uses the first final close after the research date, independent of upload or processing time. Publication timestamps are unverified; source session dates are explicit assumptions. This reviews selected recorded signals, not every historical opportunity or a strategy known at the time. Missing entry closes remain unpriced. Exits follow dated research evidence and each signal's frozen hold rule. Recorded issuance ledger. A close is final after 17:30 exchange time.

Entry timing and qualifying evidence
TickerResearch datePosition detailsEvidenceLatest close
CRM2026-10-29Entered 2026-10-30 at 229.17Consensus turned bear → bull on 2 report days2026-11-03
MNDY2026-11-03Entry after research date 2026-11-03Consensus turned bull → bear on 2 report days2026-11-03
ORCL2026-11-03Entry after research date 2026-11-03Consensus turned bull → bear on 2 report days2026-11-03
SHOP2026-11-03Entry after research date 2026-11-03Consensus turned bull → bear on 2 report days2026-11-03
MRVL2026-11-02Entered 2026-11-03 at 171.97Consensus turned bull → bear on 2 report days; price +11.1pp vs QQQ in the signal's direction over the window charted2026-11-03
RDDT2026-11-02Entered 2026-11-03 at 96.15Consensus turned bull → bear on 2 report days2026-11-03
GOOGL2026-10-29Entered 2026-10-30 at 279.84Consensus turned bull → bear on 2 report days; price +6.1pp vs QQQ in the signal's direction over the window charted2026-11-03
U2026-10-27Entered 2026-10-28 at 39.50Consensus turned bull → bear on 2 report days2026-11-03
AMD2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 531.28Backed by 2 intact bullish narratives, seen in 3 recent editions2026-11-03
MSFT2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 532.60Backed by 2 intact bullish narratives, seen in 1 recent edition2026-11-03
EBAY2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 118.62Backed by 1 intact bullish narrative, seen in 2 recent editions2026-11-03
ADI2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 407.93Backed by 1 intact bullish narrative, seen in 1 recent edition2026-11-03
ANET2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 177.24Backed by 1 intact bullish narrative, seen in 1 recent edition2026-11-03
NET2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 331.86Backed by 1 intact bullish narrative, seen in 1 recent edition2026-11-03
NVDA2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 216.00Backed by 1 intact bullish narrative, seen in 1 recent edition2026-11-03
NXPI2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 245.83Backed by 1 intact bullish narrative, seen in 1 recent edition2026-11-03
ON2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 74.06Backed by 1 intact bullish narrative, seen in 1 recent edition2026-11-03
DOCN2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 99.53Intact bullish narrative; the stock lagged QQQ by 30.1pp over 20 sessions2026-11-03
WULF2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 11.98Intact bullish narrative; the stock lagged QQQ by 25.6pp over 20 sessions2026-11-03
SNDK2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 1255.58Intact bullish narrative; the stock lagged QQQ by 23.1pp over 20 sessions2026-11-03
LRCX2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 237.50Intact bullish narrative; the stock lagged QQQ by 20.1pp over 20 sessions2026-11-03
TWLO2026-10-23Entered 2026-10-26 at 263.65Intact bullish narrative; the stock lagged QQQ by 10.4pp over 20 sessions2026-11-03

Last recorded signal: .

Latest edition · Prices as of · Research views tracked against QQQ, not investment advice. How the lists are made.

Rates appear once a list has 10 closed positions.

Research coverage and method

Research through 2026-11-03. Artifact validity does not establish factual accuracy or research freshness.

Technical diagnostics
Research source: 2026-11-03 Processed through: 2026-11-03 Generated: 2026-11-04T21:07:17+00:00 · 0d ago Generation SHA: b5dd12406573 Service SHA: e870e679d76a Bounded refresh backlog: 9 Processing failures: 2